RGL Table For 162 | Showing Comments:
statgoon81

Posts: 2269
2/21/19 1:32 AM Quote

The table below represents game by game probability percentages for MLB seasons that include 162 or fewer games. Each game is represented by the same probability, 1/162 or approx. Six-tenths of one percent. d1000 (three 10-sided dice) are used to select the fractions that correspond with the whole numbers on their left that represent each particular game in an MLB season.

One of the purposes of having this table is to regulate the usage of certain players in S-O-M baseball simulated replays. Many players who were carded or subcarded posted very good stats in very limited usage. It's important to tightly limit their game participation to realistic levels while keeping them involved at the same time. It's also important to keep their participation less than predictable, meaning that each non-pitcher can potentially participate in any game. They are neither locked in or locked out from playing. The flex roster concept further expands the manager's options.

The RGL (Random Game Log) appears to be the most attractive way to regulate fringe player usage. (The table below is not needed for pitchers because the Pitcher Regulation Tables, Yank Numbers With Innings Max, and Pitcher Balance Numbers do a great job of regulating pitcher usage).

Many fringe players will not be designated for RGL use. Instead, they may fit a certain platoon role that will naturally simulate their realistic use. Others may be designated as IRP (Injury Replacement Player) because they are a natural fit to replace a certain teammate, thereby satisfying realistic usage for both players.

After determining the players to be designated as "Random Game Loggers" before a simulated game, roll d1000 and refer to the table below. Each of the two teams will roll to determine a random game from the S-O-M past season for the two teams. This is accomplished by going into the Baseball-Reference database and selecting the game-by-game boxscores/results for the team representing the RGL player (listed 1 through 162).

RGL players who participated in the randomly selected past-season game will be eligible to participate in the simulated game. But only in similar context as to starting a game or entering the game after it has started. Some RGL players will be allowed to start a game that they played in as a non starter from the past-season game log if it's reasonably understood that they would have started if a different-handed pitcher started that past-season game.

This regulation also has strong application to the defensive aspects of the game. Many fringe players had their zero errors turned into high error probabilities by S-O-M doctoring of their error ratings. These were players who S-O-M wanted to deter from being used too frequently as defensive replacements. By designating such players as RGL'ers, they are free to be used with their realistic zero error chances when their zero error probability usage is enabled through the RGL concept while their fielding overuse defaults to their adjusted S-O-M error rating.

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RGL Table

1------006-173
2------012-346
3------018-519
4------024-692
5------030-864
6------037-037
7------043-210
8------049-383
9------055-555
10----061-728
11----067-901
12----074-074
13----080-247
14----086-420
15----092-592
16----098-765
17----104-938
18----111-111
19----117-284
20----123-457
21----129-630
22----135-802
23----141-975
24----148-148
25----154-321
26----160-494
27----166-666
28----172-839
29----179-012
30----185-185
31----191-358
32----197-531
33----203-703
34----209-876
35----216-049
36----222-222
37----228-395
38----234-568
39----240-741
40----246-913
41----253-086
42----259-259
43----265-432
44----271-605
45----277-777
46----283-950
47----290-123
48----296-296
49----302-469
50----308-642
51----314-814
52----320-987
53----327-160
54----333-333
55----339-506
56----345-679
57----351-852
58----358-025
59----364-197
60----370-370
61----376-543
62----382-716
63----388-888
64----395-061
65----401-123
66----407-407
67----413-580
68----419-753
69----425-925
70----432-098
71----438-271
72----444-444
73----450-617
74----456-790
75----462-963
76----469-136
77----475-308
78----481-481
79----487-654
80----493-827
81----500-000
82----506-173
83----512-346
84----518-519
85----524-692
86----530-864
87----537-037
88----543-210
89----549-383
90----555-555
91----561-728
92----567-901
93----574-074
94----580-247
95----586-420
96----592-592
97----598-765
98----604-938
99----611-111
100--617-284
101--623-457
102--629-630
103--635-802
104--641-975
105--648-148
106--654-321
107--660-494
108--666-666
109--672-839
110--679-012
111--685-185
112--691-358
113--697-531
114--703-703
115--709-876
116--716-049
117--722-222
118--728-395
119--734-568
120--740-741
121--746-913
122--753-086
123--759-259
124--765-432
125--771-605
126--777-777
127--783-950
128--790-123
129--796-296
130--802-469
131--808-642
132--814-814
133--820-987
134--827-160
135--833-333
136--839-506
137--845-679
138--851-852
139--858-025
140--864-197
141--870-370
142--876-543
143--882-716
144--888-888
145--895-061
146--901-123
147--907-407
148--913-580
149--919-753
150--925-925
151--932-098
152--938-271
153--944-444
154--950-617
155--956-790
156--962-963
157--969-136
158--975-308
159--981-481
160--987-654
161--993-827
162--000-000




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